When profits are concerned, you grow proud, especially if you are at the beginning of your business, and this causes overconfidence and an overestimation of your skills. When your confidence increases David CarliI am a macroeconomic and financial analyst with over 30 years’ experience, including two years as a fund manager. I specialise in currencies and commodities, and I am the author of several successful books on trading, macroeconomics, and financial markets.