When something seems obvious and all the websites, blogs and forums say that a specific event will happen, most people are led to believe that it will. This is the so-called Herd-Behaviour and identifies a David CarliI am a macroeconomic and financial analyst with over 30 years’ experience, including two years as a fund manager. I specialise in currencies and commodities, and I am the author of several successful books on trading, macroeconomics, and financial markets.