Talking to some traders via e-mail, I indicated my medium-term target of Eur-Usd at 1.16 and in this article, I explain the reasons that led me to this conclusion through interest rate analysis… Read the rest
Two days ago I received an e-mail from Clément with his analysis of Usd-Jpy. Before I make a few thoughts, I will quote the analysis exactly as it came to me, without changing a comma… Read the rest
On 7 February, with the invaluable help of one of my co-workers, Hannah, with the currency pair at 0.84425, I analysed Eur-Gbp. Today, during the Tokyo session, the target was reached… Read the rest
Japan intervened in the foreign exchange market on Thursday to buy the yen for the first time since 1998, in an attempt to shore up the battered currency after the Bank of Japan stuck with ultra-low interest… Read the rest
On Thursday, Eur-Gbp also reached its second target. I am not writing this article to self-congratulate, to tell you how good I am. I do so because I want to make a few considerations that you should not… Read the rest
Today I take some questions I received as a starting point to take stock of situation in currencies. After a few years of low volatility and zero or near-zero rates, with the pandemic, inflation started to rise due to… Read the rest